The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded forecasts for Nigeria’s economic growth to 3.1 percent in 2024, down from a 3.3 percent projected in April.
In its July 2024 World Economic Outlook released on Tuesday, IMF said a lower-than-expected activity in the first quarter (Q1) of the year impacted decisions for the downgrade.
The IMF, however, retained a 3.0 percent forecast for Nigeria’s economic growth in 2025.
NIGERIA AND SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Revealing further, IMF downgraded its forecast for sub-Saharan Africa economic growth in 2024 to 3.7 percent — from the April forecast of 3.8 percent.
“The forecast for growth in sub-Saharan Africa is revised downward, mainly as a result of a 0.2 percentage point downward revision to the growth outlook in Nigeria amid weaker than expected activity in the first quarter of this year,” the Bretton Woods institution said.
However, IMF increased its forecast for economic growth in the region for 2025 to 4.1 percent — from 4.0 in its April projection.
GLOBAL PROJECTION
IMF retained its global economic forecast at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 3.3 percent in 2025.
“Growth is expected to remain stable. At 3.2 percent in 2024 and 3.3 percent in 2025, the forecast for global economic growth is broadly unchanged from that in April,” the international lender said.
“Among advanced economies, growth is expected to converge over the coming quarters.
“In the United States, projected growth is revised downward to 2.6 percent in 2024 (0.1 percentage point lower than projected in April), reflecting the slower-than-expected start to the year.
“Growth is expected to slow to 1.9 percent in 2025 as the labor market cools and consumption moderates, with fiscal policy starting to tighten gradually. By the end of 2025, growth is projected to taper to potential, closing the positive output gap.”
Also, IMF forecast that global inflation will continue to decline.
