How Iyabo Obasanjo’s 2027 ‘War’ Declaration On Yayi Fizzled Out As ‘Awada Kerikeri’
By
Segun Olatunji
Senator Iyabo Obasanjo’s noisy re-entry into Ogun State politics has officially imploded, providing the electorate with a masterclass in political comedy. After a comfortable 15-year sabbatical and self-exile in American academia, her self-declared warfare against the All Progressives Congress’ governorship candidate, Senator Solomon Adeola (Yayi) ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial race has evaporated into a remarkably brief, highly privileged tantrum. Iyabo’s threat has turned out to be less of a strategic military offensive and more of a short-lived tantrum. Rather than offering a sophisticated policy blueprint, within just a few dramatic months, the former president’s daughter treated stakeholders to an exquisite offering of a heavy dose of hereditary entitlement, public broadsides and Olympic-level frantic hopscotch across party lines. If this was her own version of political warfare, it’s safe to say she brought a butter knife to a drone fight. Ultimately, her attempt to execute a textbook political ambush on a deeply entrenched machinery has proved just that.
Return of the Prodigal Daughter
To understand the sheer comedy of Iyabo Obasanjo’s political “war” against the APC governorship flagbearer, one must go back to how it all began. In February 2026, Senator Iyabo Obasanjo re-emerged on the airwaves of Eagle 102.5 FM in Ilese Ijebu, declaring her intention to become the next governor of Ogun State on the platform of the ruling APC. It was an interesting choice of vehicle, given the fact that her famous father spent most of his recent years treating the APC like a plague.
Iyabo didn’t roll into town talking about policy, economic blueprints, or her vision for infrastructural development. Rather, she chose verbal violence. Her primary target? Senator Adeola Yayi, the incumbent Senator representing Ogun West and the ranking Chairman of the Senate Committee on Appropriations.
In her radio interviews, Iyabo Obasanjo immediately drew battle lines by labeling Senator Yayi a political “opportunist”. Her grievance was simple, old-school, and dripping with elitism: Yayi had built his political career, his deep pockets, and his fierce reputation in Lagos State before moving his political machinery back home to Ogun State. To the sanctimonious Iyabo, this cross-border migration was a political sin. She openly questioned how someone could just “come in” to take the ultimate crown while other long-suffering politicians stayed in the local trenches.
It was a bold argument from someone who had literally been comfortably sitting across the Atlantic Ocean for a decade and a half, completely detached from the daily realities, gridlock and systemic failures of Ogun State governance. Apparently, Iyabo believes taking a 15-year coffee break in America qualifies her as a “local grassroots saviour,” while serving actively as a senator in a neighbouring state makes Yayi an interloper. The irony was immediate, beautiful, and completely lost on her.*
125 Days of “War”
What followed was a masterclass in how not to launch a political campaign against a deeply entrenched incumbent machinery. While Yayi was busy lining up endorsements from the grassroots, the market women, and the formidable Arewa Community across the 20 local government areas, Iyabo Obasanjo was busy banking on the sheer magic of her surname.
In Nigerian politics, a legendary family name can unlock a lot of doors. It can get you premium airtime, it can get you a polite audience at traditional palaces, and it can ensure that party leaders smile warmly when you walk into the room. However, as the 2027 race in Ogun is proving, a name alone does not automatically buy you the keys to the Oke Mosan Governor’s Office in Abeokuta.
While Iyabo was proclaiming her unmatched “formidability” to reporters at the APC National Headquarters in Abuja, Yayi was playing chess. Backed by the formidable alliance of Governor Dapo Abiodun and veteran statesman, Chief Segun Osoba, Senator Yayi quietly and systematically consolidated the entire APC apparatus in Ogun State under his wings.
By April 2026, Iyabo Obasanjo’s “war” hit a brick wall. At a high-level APC caucus meeting in Abeokuta, the party leadership did not hold a long, drawn-out debate about her royal political lineage. Rather, they overwhelmingly announced Senator Yayi as the party’s consensus governorship candidate for 2027.
Just like that, Iyabo’s high-octane offensive was over! Realising she had been thoroughly outmaneuvered, Obasanjo was forced to swallow her pride. On April 13, 2026, she issued a thoroughly humbling statement announcing the suspension of her gubernatorial bid and offering her polite congratulations to the very “opportunist” she had sworn to defeat. The mighty warrior had surrendered before the primary election drums could even start beating.
If You Can’t Win, Throw a Tantrum and Defect
For about five weeks, it looked like peace had returned to the land. But, we all are quite aware, Nigerian political theater is nothing without a dramatic plot twist. By June 2026, the quiet sting of defeat became too much to bear for Iyabo. Realising that hanging around the APC meant serving as a cheerleader for the Yayi train, Iyabo Obasanjo decided to ignite an inferno to burn down the entire bridge.
She sent a blistering resignation letter to Ogun APC Chairman Chief Yemi Sanusi, complaining bitterly about a “lack of integration” and a total disregard for her contributions. She alleged that her supporters were locked out of venues, intimidated, and thoroughly marginalised. Her brief, chaotic, 125-day residency in the APC had officially come to an end.
Exhibiting the kind of ideological flexibility that makes Nigerian politicians look like Olympic gymnasts, Iyabo immediately packed her bags and marched right back to the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)—the very party she had abandoned just a few months earlier. She showed up at a rally arm-in-arm with PDP governorship flagbearer, Ladi Adebutu, declaring that her defection was motivated entirely by “compassion for the Ogun people.”
However, political insiders quickly exposed the real motive behind Iyabo’s newfound compassion. Word from the grapevine indicates that her dramatic exit from the APC was triggered because she tried to negotiate for the deputy governorship slot and was firmly told that the position wy already filled. Having failed to secure the top job or the backup job in the ruling party, she reportedly scampered to the PDP hoping that Adebutu would hand her the deputy governorship ticket on a silver platter. Alas, she was again late to the sharing table, but was comforted with the Ogun Central Senatorial District’s ticket.
Even the Family Table is Divided
The absolute cherry on top of this political farce is that while Senator Iyabo Obasanjo is busy launching proxy wars and shifting alliances to stop Yayi, her own immediate family seems entirely unbothered by her crusade. In fact, they are actively working against it.
Just weeks after her dramatic resignation from the APC, two of her prominent brothers, Dr. Olugbenga Obasanjo and Mr. Olujuwon Obasanjo, caused a massive stir in the state. The two brothers did not release a statement supporting their sister’s grand “compassionate” return to the PDP. Rather, they took a very glaring public stroll over to Yayi’s private residence in Abeokuta.
Gbenga and Olujuwon Obasanjo sat down, drank tea, praised Yayi’s “sterling performance in governance,” and openly pledged their unalloyed support for his 2027 gubernatorial bid. To make matters more hilariously awkward for Iyabo, even the family patriarch himself, Chief Olusegun Obasanjo, openly advised Yayi to ignore the noise and stay focused on his ambition.
When your own household looks at your “war” and decides to go hang out in the enemy’s camp, it might be time to admit that your political relevance has left the building.
Reality Check
The hard truth that this Iyabo Obasanjo’s failed campaign has exposed is that Ogun State voters are tired of dynastic entitlement. The era where an elite politician can fly in from a comfortable life abroad, declare war based on local residency technicalities, and expect everyone to kowtow is officially gone.
The Ogun APC governorship flagbearer didn’t build his massive political machinery by telling people who his father was. He built it by staying in the system, playing the messy game of party politics, and delivering tangible results to his constituents. Meanwhile, Iyabo Obasanjo’s entire strategy appeared to rely on the hope that the Ogun political elite would clear a path out of sheer respect for her father’s shadow.
Time for a New Strategy
Ultimately, Dr Iyabo Obasanjo’s brief, chaotic political blitzkrieg has proved that nostalgia is an incredibly poor substitute for an actual ground game. By swapping parties, chasing a backup deputy ticket, and getting publicly disowned by her own family lunch table, her grand “war” didn’t stop the Yayi train—it just gave it free publicity. If the 2027 race has taught the former senator anything, it is a highly professional, deeply embarrassing lesson: in modern Ogun politics, pedigree might get you an interview, but it is sweat, strategy and staying in the trenches that actually wins the crown. Next time, Iyabo Obasanjo might want to leave her butter knife in her American base.
.Olatunji, a Journalist, Political/Crisis Communication Strategist writes from Ilaro, Ogun State